Kilmarnock
ST JohnstoneRugby Park
Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone prediction, AI analysis & value bets
Win probability (AI model)
Expected goals (xG)
1.6 vs 0.9
Form (last 5)
Head-to-head (last 10)
Kilmarnock 4W · 1D · 5W ST Johnstone
League position
Kilmarnock: 11/12 · ST Johnstone: 8/12
Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone match preview
Our AI model makes Kilmarnock the favourites for this Premiership fixture, giving them a 45% chance of victory against 25% for ST Johnstone and 29% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.
The model projects 1.6 expected goals (xG) for Kilmarnock and 0.9 for ST Johnstone, pointing towards a moderately open game. Kilmarnock take mixed form into the game (2W-1D-2L in their last 5). ST Johnstone have been poor over the same stretch (1W-2D-2L).
Over their last 10 meetings, Kilmarnock have won 4, ST Johnstone 5 and 1 finished level. In the table, Kilmarnock sit 11/12 and ST Johnstone 8/12. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.
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The model picture above is free. Pro members see the part that matters: the exact recommended pick and how much edge it holds over the bookmakers, on this match and every match.
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Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone: frequently asked questions
Who will win Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone?
Our AI model makes Kilmarnock to win the most likely outcome, giving Kilmarnock a 45% chance, the draw 29% and ST Johnstone 25%.
How many goals are expected in Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone?
The model projects 1.6 expected goals for Kilmarnock and 0.9 for ST Johnstone (2.5 combined) across 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.
What form are Kilmarnock and ST Johnstone in?
Kilmarnock are 2W-1D-2L and ST Johnstone are 1W-2D-2L across their last five matches.
What is the AI's recommended bet for Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone?
The full AI pick, its confidence rating and the best value bet with its edge over bookmaker odds are available to Winotips Pro members.
Latest Kilmarnock & ST Johnstone news
Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org