Latvia vs Montenegro prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Latvia

13%

Draw

26%

Montenegro

60%

Model favoured Montenegro to win

LatviaMatch statsMontenegro

51%

Latvia

Poss
%

49%

Montenegro

14Shots14

2Shots on target6

7Shots inside box11

5Corners2

10Fouls6

1Yellow cards0

Expected goals (xG)

0.7 vs 1.7

Form (last 5)

Latvia

DLLDL

Montenegro

WDWWW

Head-to-head (last 4)

Latvia 0W · 2D · 2W Montenegro

Latvia vs Montenegro result & analysis

The match finished Latvia 1 Montenegro 2. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Montenegro on a 60% win probability, against 13% for Latvia and 26% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 0.7 expected goals (xG) for Latvia and 1.7 for Montenegro, a profile fitting a moderately open game. Latvia had taken poor form into the game (0W-2D-3L in their last 5). Montenegro had been strong over the same stretch (4W-1D-0L).

Over their last 4 meetings, Latvia have won 0, Montenegro 2 and 2 finished level. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

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The model picture above is free. Pro members see the part that matters: the exact recommended pick and how much edge it holds over the bookmakers, on this match and every match.