Lazio vs Monza prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Lazio

68%

Draw

20%

Monza

12%

Model favoured Lazio to win

LazioMatch statsMonza

66%

Lazio

Poss
%

34%

Monza

17Shots14

7Shots on target6

8Shots inside box10

7Corners6

10Fouls9

3Yellow cards1

Expected goals (xG)

2.2 vs 0.8

Form (last 5)

Lazio

DWWDW

Monza

LWLDL

Head-to-head (last 7)

Lazio 5W · 2D · 0W Monza

League position

Lazio: 2/20 · Monza: 16/20

Lazio vs Monza result & analysis

The match finished Lazio 3 Monza 1. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Lazio on a 68% win probability, against 12% for Monza and 20% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 2.2 expected goals (xG) for Lazio and 0.8 for Monza, a profile fitting an open, high-scoring game. Lazio had taken strong form into the game (3W-2D-0L in their last 5). Monza had been poor over the same stretch (1W-1D-3L).

Over their last 7 meetings, Lazio have won 5, Monza 0 and 2 finished level. In the table, Lazio sat 2/20 and Monza 16/20. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

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