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Ligue 1·Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 16:15
Le HavreLe Havre
VS
AuxerreAuxerre

Stade Océane

Le Havre vs Auxerre prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Le Havre
54%
Draw
27%
Auxerre
19%
Model leans towards Le Havre to win

Expected goals (xG)

1.7 vs 0.9

Form (last 5)

Le Havre
DLDLW
Auxerre
LLWWW

Head-to-head (last 10)

Le Havre 5W · 3D · 2W Auxerre

League position

Le Havre: 18/18 · Auxerre: 10/18

Le Havre vs Auxerre match preview

Our AI model makes Le Havre the favourites for this Ligue 1 fixture, giving them a 54% chance of victory against 19% for Auxerre and 27% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 1.7 expected goals (xG) for Le Havre and 0.9 for Auxerre, pointing towards a moderately open game. Le Havre take poor form into the game (1W-2D-2L in their last 5). Auxerre have been strong over the same stretch (3W-0D-2L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Le Havre have won 5, Auxerre 2 and 3 finished level. In the table, Le Havre sit 18/18 and Auxerre 10/18. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.

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Le Havre vs Auxerre: frequently asked questions

Who will win Le Havre vs Auxerre?

Our AI model makes Le Havre to win the most likely outcome, giving Le Havre a 54% chance, the draw 27% and Auxerre 19%.

How many goals are expected in Le Havre vs Auxerre?

The model projects 1.7 expected goals for Le Havre and 0.9 for Auxerre (2.6 combined) across 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

What form are Le Havre and Auxerre in?

Le Havre are 1W-2D-2L and Auxerre are 3W-0D-2L across their last five matches.

What is the AI's recommended bet for Le Havre vs Auxerre?

The full AI pick, its confidence rating and the best value bet with its edge over bookmaker odds are available to Winotips Pro members.

Latest Le Havre & Auxerre news

Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org