Lecce vs Bologna prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Lecce

25%

Draw

31%

Bologna

45%

Model favoured Bologna to win

LecceMatch statsBologna

57%

Lecce

Poss
%

43%

Bologna

19Shots10

5Shots on target5

12Shots inside box8

10Corners3

17Fouls8

3Yellow cards2

Expected goals (xG)

0.9 vs 1.3

Form (last 5)

Lecce

LLWLL

Bologna

LDLDW

Head-to-head (last 10)

Lecce 0W · 3D · 7W Bologna

League position

Lecce: 12/20 · Bologna: 13/20

Lecce vs Bologna result & analysis

The match finished Lecce 1 Bologna 2. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Bologna on a 45% win probability, against 25% for Lecce and 31% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 0.9 expected goals (xG) for Lecce and 1.3 for Bologna, a profile fitting a cagey, low-scoring game. Lecce had taken poor form into the game (1W-0D-4L in their last 5). Bologna had been poor over the same stretch (1W-2D-2L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Lecce have won 0, Bologna 7 and 3 finished level. In the table, Lecce sat 12/20 and Bologna 13/20. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

WINOTIPS PRO

Unlock the AI pick for Lecce vs Bologna

The model picture above is free. Pro members see the part that matters: the exact recommended pick and how much edge it holds over the bookmakers, on this match and every match.