Lecce vs Bologna prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Lecce

27%

Draw

35%

Bologna

38%

Model leans towards Bologna to win

Expected goals (xG)

0.9 vs 1.1

Form (last 5)

Lecce

WLLWL

Bologna

LLDLD

Head-to-head (last 10)

Lecce 0W · 3D · 7W Bologna

League position

Lecce: 12/20 · Bologna: 18/20

Lecce vs Bologna match preview

Our AI model makes Bologna the favourites for this Serie A fixture, giving them a 38% chance of victory against 27% for Lecce and 35% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 0.9 expected goals (xG) for Lecce and 1.1 for Bologna, pointing towards a cagey, low-scoring game. Lecce take mixed form into the game (2W-0D-3L in their last 5). Bologna have been poor over the same stretch (0W-2D-3L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Lecce have won 0, Bologna 7 and 3 finished level. In the table, Lecce sit 12/20 and Bologna 18/20. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.

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