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Premier League·Sat, 7 Nov 2026, 12:30
LeedsLeeds
VS
TottenhamTottenham

Elland Road

Leeds vs Tottenham prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Leeds
36%
Draw
30%
Tottenham
34%
Model leans towards Leeds to win

Expected goals (xG)

1.4 vs 1.1

Form (last 5)

Leeds
WDLDD
Tottenham
LLDWW

Head-to-head (last 9)

Leeds 2W · 1D · 6W Tottenham

League position

Leeds: 7/20 · Tottenham: 14/20

Leeds vs Tottenham match preview

Leeds vs Tottenham shapes up as one of the tighter calls on the card. Across 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations our model separates the two sides by just 2 points: Leeds on 36% and Tottenham on 34%, with the draw a live outcome at 30%. Expect a close, low margin contest in this Premier League fixture.

The model projects 1.4 expected goals (xG) for Leeds and 1.1 for Tottenham, pointing towards a moderately open game. Leeds take poor form into the game (1W-3D-1L in their last 5). Tottenham have been mixed over the same stretch (2W-1D-2L).

Over their last 9 meetings, Leeds have won 2, Tottenham 6 and 1 finished level. In the table, Leeds sit 7/20 and Tottenham 14/20. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.

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Leeds vs Tottenham: frequently asked questions

Who will win Leeds vs Tottenham?

Our AI model makes Leeds to win the most likely outcome, giving Leeds a 36% chance, the draw 30% and Tottenham 34%.

How many goals are expected in Leeds vs Tottenham?

The model projects 1.4 expected goals for Leeds and 1.1 for Tottenham (2.5 combined) across 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

What form are Leeds and Tottenham in?

Leeds are 1W-3D-1L and Tottenham are 2W-1D-2L across their last five matches.

What is the AI's recommended bet for Leeds vs Tottenham?

The full AI pick, its confidence rating and the best value bet with its edge over bookmaker odds are available to Winotips Pro members.

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Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org