Lens vs Lyon prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Lens

44%

Draw

28%

Lyon

27%

Model favoured Lens to win

LensMatch statsLyon

49%

Lens

Poss
%

51%

Lyon

15Shots12

7Shots on target5

12Shots inside box8

7Corners3

13Fouls12

1Yellow cards1

Expected goals (xG)

1.5 vs 1.1

Form (last 5)

Lens

LWDLW

Lyon

DWDWW

Head-to-head (last 9)

Lens 5W · 2D · 2W Lyon

League position

Lens: 15/18 · Lyon: 2/18

Lens vs Lyon result & analysis

The match finished Lens 2 Lyon 1. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Lens on a 44% win probability, against 27% for Lyon and 28% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 1.5 expected goals (xG) for Lens and 1.1 for Lyon, a profile fitting a moderately open game. Lens had taken mixed form into the game (2W-1D-2L in their last 5). Lyon had been strong over the same stretch (3W-2D-0L).

Over their last 9 meetings, Lens have won 5, Lyon 2 and 2 finished level. In the table, Lens sat 15/18 and Lyon 2/18. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

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