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Ligue 1·Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 16:15
LilleLille
VS
Le HavreLe Havre

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille vs Le Havre prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Lille
57%
Draw
21%
Le Havre
9%
Model leans towards Lille to win

Expected goals (xG)

2.1 vs 0.6

Form (last 5)

Lille
DWLWL
Le Havre
LDLDL

Head-to-head (last 7)

Lille 5W · 1D · 1W Le Havre

League position

Lille: 4/18 · Le Havre: 18/18

Lille vs Le Havre match preview

Our AI model makes Lille the favourites for this Ligue 1 fixture, giving them a 57% chance of victory against 9% for Le Havre and 21% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 2.1 expected goals (xG) for Lille and 0.6 for Le Havre, pointing towards a moderately open game. Lille take mixed form into the game (2W-1D-2L in their last 5). Le Havre have been poor over the same stretch (0W-2D-3L).

Over their last 7 meetings, Lille have won 5, Le Havre 1 and 1 finished level. In the table, Lille sit 4/18 and Le Havre 18/18. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.

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Lille vs Le Havre: frequently asked questions

Who will win Lille vs Le Havre?

Our AI model makes Lille to win the most likely outcome, giving Lille a 57% chance, the draw 21% and Le Havre 9%.

How many goals are expected in Lille vs Le Havre?

The model projects 2.1 expected goals for Lille and 0.6 for Le Havre (2.7 combined) across 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

What form are Lille and Le Havre in?

Lille are 2W-1D-2L and Le Havre are 0W-2D-3L across their last five matches.

What is the AI's recommended bet for Lille vs Le Havre?

The full AI pick, its confidence rating and the best value bet with its edge over bookmaker odds are available to Winotips Pro members.

Latest Lille & Le Havre news

Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org