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Ligue 1·Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 16:15
LilleLille
1:0
Le HavreLe Havre

Stade Pierre-Mauroy · Full time

Lille vs Le Havre prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Lille
63%
Draw
25%
Le Havre
12%
Model favoured Lille to win
LilleMatch statsLe Havre
47%
Lille
Poss
%
53%
Le Havre
5Shots17
1Shots on target2
3Shots inside box9
4Corners5
17Fouls12
2Yellow cards2

Expected goals (xG)

1.9 vs 0.7

Form (last 5)

Lille
LWLWW
Le Havre
LDLWL

Head-to-head (last 8)

Lille 6W · 1D · 1W Le Havre

League position

Lille: 1/18 · Le Havre: 18/18

Lille vs Le Havre result & analysis

The match finished Lille 1 Le Havre 0. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Lille on a 63% win probability, against 12% for Le Havre and 25% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 1.9 expected goals (xG) for Lille and 0.7 for Le Havre, a profile fitting a moderately open game. Lille had taken strong form into the game (3W-0D-2L in their last 5). Le Havre had been poor over the same stretch (1W-1D-3L).

Over their last 8 meetings, Lille have won 6, Le Havre 1 and 1 finished level. In the table, Lille sat 1/18 and Le Havre 18/18. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

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Lille vs Le Havre: frequently asked questions

Who won Lille vs Le Havre?

Lille won 1:0. Our AI model had favoured Lille to win before kickoff.

How many goals were scored in Lille vs Le Havre?

1 in total (Lille 1, Le Havre 0). The model had projected 1.9 and 0.7 expected goals.

What form did Lille and Le Havre take into the match?

Lille were 3W-0D-2L and Le Havre were 1W-1D-3L across their last five matches.

Did the Winotips AI get Lille vs Le Havre right?

Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

Latest Lille & Le Havre news

Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org