Premier League·Sun, 1 Nov 2026, 16:30
Liverpool
ArsenalAnfield
Liverpool vs Arsenal prediction, AI analysis & value bets
Win probability (AI model)
LiverpoolArsenalExpected goals (xG)
1.2 vs 1.5
Form (last 5)
Head-to-head (last 10)
Liverpool 3W · 5D · 2W Arsenal
League position
Liverpool: 5/20 · Arsenal: 2/20
Liverpool vs Arsenal match preview
Our AI model makes Arsenal the favourites for this Premier League fixture, giving them a 49% chance of victory against 22% for Liverpool and 29% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.
The model projects 1.2 expected goals (xG) for Liverpool and 1.5 for Arsenal, pointing towards a moderately open game. Liverpool take strong form into the game (4W-0D-1L in their last 5). Arsenal have been strong over the same stretch (3W-1D-1L).
Over their last 10 meetings, Liverpool have won 3, Arsenal 2 and 5 finished level. In the table, Liverpool sit 5/20 and Arsenal 2/20. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.
Unlock the AI pick for Liverpool vs Arsenal
The model picture above is free. Pro members see the part that matters: the exact recommended pick and how much edge it holds over the bookmakers, on this match and every match.
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Liverpool vs Arsenal: frequently asked questions
Who will win Liverpool vs Arsenal?
Our AI model makes Arsenal to win the most likely outcome, giving Liverpool a 22% chance, the draw 29% and Arsenal 49%.
How many goals are expected in Liverpool vs Arsenal?
The model projects 1.2 expected goals for Liverpool and 1.5 for Arsenal (2.7 combined) across 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.
What form are Liverpool and Arsenal in?
Liverpool are 4W-0D-1L and Arsenal are 3W-1D-1L across their last five matches.
What is the AI's recommended bet for Liverpool vs Arsenal?
The full AI pick, its confidence rating and the best value bet with its edge over bookmaker odds are available to Winotips Pro members.
Latest Liverpool & Arsenal news
Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org