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Premier League·Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 14:00
LiverpoolLiverpool
VS
BrightonBrighton

Anfield

Liverpool vs Brighton prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Liverpool
17%
Draw
24%
Brighton
59%
Model leans towards Brighton to win

Expected goals (xG)

1.2 vs 2.0

Form (last 5)

Liverpool
DWWLW
Brighton
WWWWW

Head-to-head (last 10)

Liverpool 5W · 1D · 4W Brighton

League position

Liverpool: 9/20 · Brighton: 3/20

Liverpool vs Brighton match preview

Our AI model makes Brighton the favourites for this Premier League fixture, giving them a 59% chance of victory against 17% for Liverpool and 24% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 1.2 expected goals (xG) for Liverpool and 2.0 for Brighton, pointing towards an open, high-scoring game. Liverpool take strong form into the game (3W-1D-1L in their last 5). Brighton have been strong over the same stretch (5W-0D-0L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Liverpool have won 5, Brighton 4 and 1 finished level. In the table, Liverpool sit 9/20 and Brighton 3/20. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.

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The model picture above is free. Pro members see the part that matters: the exact recommended pick and how much edge it holds over the bookmakers, on this match and every match.

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Liverpool vs Brighton: frequently asked questions

Who will win Liverpool vs Brighton?

Our AI model makes Brighton to win the most likely outcome, giving Liverpool a 17% chance, the draw 24% and Brighton 59%.

How many goals are expected in Liverpool vs Brighton?

The model projects 1.2 expected goals for Liverpool and 2.0 for Brighton (3.2 combined) across 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

What form are Liverpool and Brighton in?

Liverpool are 3W-1D-1L and Brighton are 5W-0D-0L across their last five matches.

What is the AI's recommended bet for Liverpool vs Brighton?

The full AI pick, its confidence rating and the best value bet with its edge over bookmaker odds are available to Winotips Pro members.

Latest Liverpool & Brighton news

Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org