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Ligue 1·Sun, 22 Nov 2026, 16:15
LorientLorient
VS
RennesRennes

Stade du Moustoir

Lorient vs Rennes prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Lorient
47%
Draw
26%
Rennes
28%
Model leans towards Lorient to win

Expected goals (xG)

1.9 vs 1.2

Form (last 5)

Lorient
WWDLW
Rennes
DWLDL

Head-to-head (last 10)

Lorient 6W · 1D · 3W Rennes

League position

Lorient: 10/18 · Rennes: 8/18

Lorient vs Rennes match preview

Our AI model makes Lorient the favourites for this Ligue 1 fixture, giving them a 47% chance of victory against 28% for Rennes and 26% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 1.9 expected goals (xG) for Lorient and 1.2 for Rennes, pointing towards an open, high-scoring game. Lorient take strong form into the game (3W-1D-1L in their last 5). Rennes have been poor over the same stretch (1W-2D-2L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Lorient have won 6, Rennes 3 and 1 finished level. In the table, Lorient sit 10/18 and Rennes 8/18. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.

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Lorient vs Rennes: frequently asked questions

Who will win Lorient vs Rennes?

Our AI model makes Lorient to win the most likely outcome, giving Lorient a 47% chance, the draw 26% and Rennes 28%.

How many goals are expected in Lorient vs Rennes?

The model projects 1.9 expected goals for Lorient and 1.2 for Rennes (3.2 combined) across 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

What form are Lorient and Rennes in?

Lorient are 3W-1D-1L and Rennes are 1W-2D-2L across their last five matches.

What is the AI's recommended bet for Lorient vs Rennes?

The full AI pick, its confidence rating and the best value bet with its edge over bookmaker odds are available to Winotips Pro members.

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Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org