Luxembourg vs Bulgaria prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Luxembourg

35%

Draw

36%

Bulgaria

29%

Model favoured a draw

LuxembourgMatch statsBulgaria

63%

Luxembourg

Poss
%

37%

Bulgaria

18Shots13

7Shots on target5

11Shots inside box10

5Corners3

15Fouls15

1Yellow cards3

Expected goals (xG)

1.0 vs 0.9

Form (last 5)

Luxembourg

WWLLL

Bulgaria

DLDLW

Head-to-head (last 7)

Luxembourg 1W · 3D · 3W Bulgaria

Luxembourg vs Bulgaria result & analysis

The match finished Luxembourg 0 Bulgaria 2. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Luxembourg on a 35% win probability, against 29% for Bulgaria and 36% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 1.0 expected goals (xG) for Luxembourg and 0.9 for Bulgaria, a profile fitting a cagey, low-scoring game. Luxembourg had taken mixed form into the game (2W-0D-3L in their last 5). Bulgaria had been poor over the same stretch (1W-2D-2L).

Over their last 7 meetings, Luxembourg have won 1, Bulgaria 3 and 3 finished level. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

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The model picture above is free. Pro members see the part that matters: the exact recommended pick and how much edge it holds over the bookmakers, on this match and every match.