Malta vs Gibraltar prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Malta

76%

Draw

19%

Gibraltar

Model favoured Malta to win

MaltaMatch statsGibraltar

62%

Malta

Poss
%

38%

Gibraltar

17Shots9

5Shots on target2

12Shots inside box4

8Corners1

16Fouls8

3Yellow cards1

Expected goals (xG)

2.0 vs 0.4

Form (last 5)

Malta

LLWWW

Gibraltar

LWWDD

Head-to-head (last 2)

Malta 2W · 0D · 0W Gibraltar

Malta vs Gibraltar result & analysis

The match finished Malta 1 Gibraltar 1. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Malta on a 76% win probability, against 5% for Gibraltar and 19% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 2.0 expected goals (xG) for Malta and 0.4 for Gibraltar, a profile fitting a moderately open game. Malta had taken strong form into the game (3W-0D-2L in their last 5). Gibraltar had been mixed over the same stretch (2W-2D-1L).

Over their last 2 meetings, Malta have won 2, Gibraltar 0 and 0 finished level. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

WINOTIPS PRO

Unlock the AI pick for Malta vs Gibraltar

The model picture above is free. Pro members see the part that matters: the exact recommended pick and how much edge it holds over the bookmakers, on this match and every match.