Maritimo vs FC Porto prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Maritimo

Draw

10%

FC Porto

88%

Model favoured FC Porto to win

MaritimoMatch statsFC Porto

41%

Maritimo

Poss
%

59%

FC Porto

7Shots19

4Shots on target9

2Shots inside box15

2Corners6

15Fouls15

1Yellow cards2

Expected goals (xG)

0.3 vs 2.7

Form (last 5)

Maritimo

LLLDL

FC Porto

LWWWW

Head-to-head (last 10)

Maritimo 1W · 2D · 7W FC Porto

League position

Maritimo: 11/18 · FC Porto: 1/18

Maritimo vs FC Porto result & analysis

The match finished Maritimo 1 FC Porto 2. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured FC Porto on a 88% win probability, against 2% for Maritimo and 10% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 0.3 expected goals (xG) for Maritimo and 2.7 for FC Porto, a profile fitting an open, high-scoring game. Maritimo had taken poor form into the game (0W-1D-4L in their last 5). FC Porto had been strong over the same stretch (4W-0D-1L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Maritimo have won 1, FC Porto 7 and 2 finished level. In the table, Maritimo sat 11/18 and FC Porto 1/18. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

WINOTIPS PRO

Unlock the AI pick for Maritimo vs FC Porto

The model picture above is free. Pro members see the part that matters: the exact recommended pick and how much edge it holds over the bookmakers, on this match and every match.