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Championship·Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 15:00
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
VS
CharltonCharlton

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough vs Charlton prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Middlesbrough
72%
Draw
18%
Charlton
11%
Model leans towards Middlesbrough to win

Expected goals (xG)

2.4 vs 0.7

Form (last 5)

Middlesbrough
DWWDW
Charlton
LDDLL

Head-to-head (last 10)

Middlesbrough 7W · 1D · 2W Charlton

League position

Middlesbrough: 1/24 · Charlton: 19/24

Middlesbrough vs Charlton match preview

Our AI model makes Middlesbrough the favourites for this Championship fixture, giving them a 72% chance of victory against 11% for Charlton and 18% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 2.4 expected goals (xG) for Middlesbrough and 0.7 for Charlton, pointing towards an open, high-scoring game. Middlesbrough take strong form into the game (3W-2D-0L in their last 5). Charlton have been poor over the same stretch (0W-2D-3L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Middlesbrough have won 7, Charlton 2 and 1 finished level. In the table, Middlesbrough sit 1/24 and Charlton 19/24. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.

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Middlesbrough vs Charlton: frequently asked questions

Who will win Middlesbrough vs Charlton?

Our AI model makes Middlesbrough to win the most likely outcome, giving Middlesbrough a 72% chance, the draw 18% and Charlton 11%.

How many goals are expected in Middlesbrough vs Charlton?

The model projects 2.4 expected goals for Middlesbrough and 0.7 for Charlton (3.1 combined) across 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

What form are Middlesbrough and Charlton in?

Middlesbrough are 3W-2D-0L and Charlton are 0W-2D-3L across their last five matches.

What is the AI's recommended bet for Middlesbrough vs Charlton?

The full AI pick, its confidence rating and the best value bet with its edge over bookmaker odds are available to Winotips Pro members.

Latest Middlesbrough & Charlton news

Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org