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Brazilian Série A·Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 20:30
MirassolMirassol
VS
Sao PauloSao Paulo

José Maria de Campos Maia

Mirassol vs Sao Paulo prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Mirassol
55%
Draw
26%
Sao Paulo
19%
Model leans towards Mirassol to win

Expected goals (xG)

1.7 vs 0.7

Form (last 5)

Mirassol
DWWDL
Sao Paulo
DWLLW

Head-to-head (last 10)

Mirassol 4W · 2D · 4W Sao Paulo

League position

Mirassol: 15/20 · Sao Paulo: 10/20

Mirassol vs Sao Paulo match preview

Our AI model makes Mirassol the favourites for this Brazilian Série A fixture, giving them a 55% chance of victory against 19% for Sao Paulo and 26% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 1.7 expected goals (xG) for Mirassol and 0.7 for Sao Paulo, pointing towards a moderately open game. Mirassol take mixed form into the game (2W-2D-1L in their last 5). Sao Paulo have been mixed over the same stretch (2W-1D-2L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Mirassol have won 4, Sao Paulo 4 and 2 finished level. In the table, Mirassol sit 15/20 and Sao Paulo 10/20. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.

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Mirassol vs Sao Paulo: frequently asked questions

Who will win Mirassol vs Sao Paulo?

Our AI model makes Mirassol to win the most likely outcome, giving Mirassol a 55% chance, the draw 26% and Sao Paulo 19%.

How many goals are expected in Mirassol vs Sao Paulo?

The model projects 1.7 expected goals for Mirassol and 0.7 for Sao Paulo (2.5 combined) across 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

What form are Mirassol and Sao Paulo in?

Mirassol are 2W-2D-1L and Sao Paulo are 2W-1D-2L across their last five matches.

What is the AI's recommended bet for Mirassol vs Sao Paulo?

The full AI pick, its confidence rating and the best value bet with its edge over bookmaker odds are available to Winotips Pro members.

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Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org