Monaco vs Auxerre prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Our AI model makes Monaco the favourites for this Ligue 1 fixture, giving them a 69% chance of victory against 13% for Auxerre and 19% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 2.5 expected goals (xG) for Monaco and 0.8 for Auxerre, pointing towards an open, high-scoring game. Monaco take mixed form into the game (2W-2D-1L in their last 5). Auxerre have been poor over the same stretch (1W-1D-3L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Monaco have won 8, Auxerre 0 and 2 finished level. In the table, Monaco sit 7/18 and Auxerre 14/18. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.