Monaco vs Toulouse prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Monaco

59%

Draw

22%

Toulouse

18%

Model favoured Monaco to win

MonacoMatch statsToulouse

59%

Monaco

Poss
%

41%

Toulouse

16Shots9

4Shots on target4

11Shots inside box5

4Corners4

10Fouls16

2Yellow cards2

Expected goals (xG)

2.1 vs 1.1

Form (last 5)

Monaco

WWDWW

Toulouse

DLDWL

Head-to-head (last 9)

Monaco 5W · 2D · 2W Toulouse

League position

Monaco: 2/18 · Toulouse: 14/18

Monaco vs Toulouse result & analysis

The match finished Monaco 2 Toulouse 2. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Monaco on a 59% win probability, against 18% for Toulouse and 22% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 2.1 expected goals (xG) for Monaco and 1.1 for Toulouse, a profile fitting an open, high-scoring game. Monaco had taken strong form into the game (4W-1D-0L in their last 5). Toulouse had been poor over the same stretch (1W-2D-2L).

Over their last 9 meetings, Monaco have won 5, Toulouse 2 and 2 finished level. In the table, Monaco sat 2/18 and Toulouse 14/18. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

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