Napoli vs AS Roma prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Napoli

23%

Draw

31%

AS Roma

46%

Model leans towards AS Roma to win

Expected goals (xG)

1.1 vs 1.3

Form (last 5)

Napoli

LWDWL

AS Roma

DWDDL

Head-to-head (last 10)

Napoli 4W · 5D · 1W AS Roma

League position

Napoli: 8/20 · AS Roma: 3/20

Napoli vs AS Roma match preview

Our AI model makes AS Roma the favourites for this Serie A fixture, giving them a 46% chance of victory against 23% for Napoli and 31% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 1.1 expected goals (xG) for Napoli and 1.3 for AS Roma, pointing towards a moderately open game. Napoli take mixed form into the game (2W-1D-2L in their last 5). AS Roma have been poor over the same stretch (1W-3D-1L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Napoli have won 4, AS Roma 1 and 5 finished level. In the table, Napoli sit 8/20 and AS Roma 3/20. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.

WINOTIPS PRO

Unlock the AI pick for Napoli vs AS Roma

The model picture above is free. Pro members see the part that matters: the exact recommended pick and how much edge it holds over the bookmakers, on this match and every match.