Napoli vs Frosinone prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Napoli

14%

Draw

27%

Frosinone

60%

Model favoured Frosinone to win

NapoliMatch statsFrosinone

51%

Napoli

Poss
%

49%

Frosinone

18Shots17

7Shots on target1

12Shots inside box9

6Corners4

8Fouls12

2Yellow cards0

Expected goals (xG)

0.7 vs 1.7

Form (last 5)

Napoli

LLLWD

Frosinone

DWDWW

Head-to-head (last 7)

Napoli 5W · 1D · 1W Frosinone

League position

Napoli: 9/20 · Frosinone: 6/20

Napoli vs Frosinone result & analysis

The match finished Napoli 3 Frosinone 0. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Frosinone on a 60% win probability, against 14% for Napoli and 27% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 0.7 expected goals (xG) for Napoli and 1.7 for Frosinone, a profile fitting a moderately open game. Napoli had taken poor form into the game (1W-1D-3L in their last 5). Frosinone had been strong over the same stretch (3W-2D-0L).

Over their last 7 meetings, Napoli have won 5, Frosinone 1 and 1 finished level. In the table, Napoli sat 9/20 and Frosinone 6/20. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

WINOTIPS PRO

Unlock the AI pick for Napoli vs Frosinone

The model picture above is free. Pro members see the part that matters: the exact recommended pick and how much edge it holds over the bookmakers, on this match and every match.