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UEFA Nations League·Sun, 4 Oct 2026, 19:45
NetherlandsNetherlands
2:1
SerbiaSerbia

Philips Stadion · Full time

Netherlands vs Serbia prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Netherlands
90%
Draw
8%
Serbia
2%
Model favoured Netherlands to win
NetherlandsMatch statsSerbia
66%
Netherlands
Poss
%
34%
Serbia
22Shots12
7Shots on target4
14Shots inside box6
6Corners3
14Fouls13
1Yellow cards4

Expected goals (xG)

3.2 vs 0.4

Form (last 5)

Netherlands
WDDWD
Serbia
LLLLL

Head-to-head (last 1)

Netherlands 1W · 0D · 0W Serbia

Netherlands vs Serbia result & analysis

The match finished Netherlands 2 Serbia 1. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Netherlands on a 90% win probability, against 2% for Serbia and 8% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 3.2 expected goals (xG) for Netherlands and 0.4 for Serbia, a profile fitting an open, high-scoring game. Netherlands had taken mixed form into the game (2W-3D-0L in their last 5). Serbia had been poor over the same stretch (0W-0D-5L).

Over their last 1 meetings, Netherlands have won 1, Serbia 0 and 0 finished level. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

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Netherlands vs Serbia: frequently asked questions

Who won Netherlands vs Serbia?

Netherlands won 2:1. Our AI model had favoured Netherlands to win before kickoff.

How many goals were scored in Netherlands vs Serbia?

3 in total (Netherlands 2, Serbia 1). The model had projected 3.2 and 0.4 expected goals.

What form did Netherlands and Serbia take into the match?

Netherlands were 2W-3D-0L and Serbia were 0W-0D-5L across their last five matches.

Did the Winotips AI get Netherlands vs Serbia right?

Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

Latest Netherlands & Serbia news

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