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Major League Soccer·Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 00:30
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
4:1
San DiegoSan Diego

Sports Illustrated Stadium · Full time

New York Red Bulls vs San Diego prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

New York Red Bulls
44%
Draw
28%
San Diego
29%
Model favoured New York Red Bulls to win
New York Red BullsMatch statsSan Diego
36%
New York Red Bulls
Poss
%
64%
San Diego
26Shots14
11Shots on target5
18Shots inside box12
4Corners7
20Fouls13
2Yellow cards3

Expected goals (xG)

1.6 vs 1.2

Form (last 5)

New York Red Bulls
LWWLW
San Diego
LLDDL

Head-to-head (last 2)

New York Red Bulls 1W · 0D · 1W San Diego

League position

New York Red Bulls: n/a/15 · San Diego: 12/15

New York Red Bulls vs San Diego result & analysis

The match finished New York Red Bulls 4 San Diego 1. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured New York Red Bulls on a 44% win probability, against 29% for San Diego and 28% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 1.6 expected goals (xG) for New York Red Bulls and 1.2 for San Diego, a profile fitting a moderately open game. New York Red Bulls had taken strong form into the game (3W-0D-2L in their last 5). San Diego had been poor over the same stretch (0W-2D-3L).

Over their last 2 meetings, New York Red Bulls have won 1, San Diego 1 and 0 finished level. In the table, New York Red Bulls sat n/a/15 and San Diego 12/15. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

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New York Red Bulls vs San Diego: frequently asked questions

Who won New York Red Bulls vs San Diego?

New York Red Bulls won 4:1. Our AI model had favoured New York Red Bulls to win before kickoff.

How many goals were scored in New York Red Bulls vs San Diego?

5 in total (New York Red Bulls 4, San Diego 1). The model had projected 1.6 and 1.2 expected goals.

What form did New York Red Bulls and San Diego take into the match?

New York Red Bulls were 3W-0D-2L and San Diego were 0W-2D-3L across their last five matches.

Did the Winotips AI get New York Red Bulls vs San Diego right?

Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

Latest New York Red Bulls & San Diego news

Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org