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Ligue 1·Sun, 20 Sept 2026, 16:15
NiceNice
2:1
LilleLille

Allianz Riviera · Full time

Nice vs Lille prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Nice
16%
Draw
31%
Lille
53%
Model favoured Lille to win
NiceMatch statsLille
40%
Nice
Poss
%
60%
Lille
10Shots20
4Shots on target8
7Shots inside box14
3Corners7
16Fouls9
3Yellow cards1

Expected goals (xG)

0.6 vs 1.3

Form (last 5)

Nice
DLDLW
Lille
DWLWL

Head-to-head (last 10)

Nice 4W · 4D · 2W Lille

League position

Nice: 14/18 · Lille: 4/18

Nice vs Lille result & analysis

The match finished Nice 2 Lille 1. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Lille on a 53% win probability, against 16% for Nice and 31% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 0.6 expected goals (xG) for Nice and 1.3 for Lille, a profile fitting a cagey, low-scoring game. Nice had taken poor form into the game (1W-2D-2L in their last 5). Lille had been mixed over the same stretch (2W-1D-2L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Nice have won 4, Lille 2 and 4 finished level. In the table, Nice sat 14/18 and Lille 4/18. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

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Nice vs Lille: frequently asked questions

Who won Nice vs Lille?

Nice won 2:1. Our AI model had favoured Lille to win before kickoff.

How many goals were scored in Nice vs Lille?

3 in total (Nice 2, Lille 1). The model had projected 0.6 and 1.3 expected goals.

What form did Nice and Lille take into the match?

Nice were 1W-2D-2L and Lille were 2W-1D-2L across their last five matches.

Did the Winotips AI get Nice vs Lille right?

Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

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Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org