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Ligue 1·Sat, 21 Nov 2026, 16:15
NiceNice
VS
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain

Allianz Riviera

Nice vs Paris Saint Germain prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Nice
17%
Draw
24%
Paris Saint Germain
60%
Model leans towards Paris Saint Germain to win

Expected goals (xG)

1.3 vs 2.2

Form (last 5)

Nice
WLWWW
Paris Saint Germain
WWWWW

Head-to-head (last 10)

Nice 3W · 1D · 6W Paris Saint Germain

League position

Nice: 6/18 · Paris Saint Germain: 1/18

Nice vs Paris Saint Germain match preview

Our AI model makes Paris Saint Germain the favourites for this Ligue 1 fixture, giving them a 60% chance of victory against 17% for Nice and 24% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 1.3 expected goals (xG) for Nice and 2.2 for Paris Saint Germain, pointing towards an open, high-scoring game. Nice take strong form into the game (4W-0D-1L in their last 5). Paris Saint Germain have been strong over the same stretch (5W-0D-0L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Nice have won 3, Paris Saint Germain 6 and 1 finished level. In the table, Nice sit 6/18 and Paris Saint Germain 1/18. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.

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Nice vs Paris Saint Germain: frequently asked questions

Who will win Nice vs Paris Saint Germain?

Our AI model makes Paris Saint Germain to win the most likely outcome, giving Nice a 17% chance, the draw 24% and Paris Saint Germain 60%.

How many goals are expected in Nice vs Paris Saint Germain?

The model projects 1.3 expected goals for Nice and 2.2 for Paris Saint Germain (3.4 combined) across 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

What form are Nice and Paris Saint Germain in?

Nice are 4W-0D-1L and Paris Saint Germain are 5W-0D-0L across their last five matches.

What is the AI's recommended bet for Nice vs Paris Saint Germain?

The full AI pick, its confidence rating and the best value bet with its edge over bookmaker odds are available to Winotips Pro members.

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Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org