HNL·Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 14:00
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK VarazdinStadion Maksimir
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Varazdin prediction, AI analysis & value bets
Win probability (AI model)
NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK VarazdinExpected goals (xG)
1.9 vs 1.4
Form (last 5)
Head-to-head (last 10)
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 4W · 3D · 3W NK Varazdin
League position
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: 7/10 · NK Varazdin: 4/10
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Varazdin match preview
Our AI model makes NK Lokomotiva Zagreb the favourites for this HNL fixture, giving them a 50% chance of victory against 26% for NK Varazdin and 24% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.
The model projects 1.9 expected goals (xG) for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and 1.4 for NK Varazdin, pointing towards an open, high-scoring game. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb take poor form into the game (1W-1D-3L in their last 5). NK Varazdin have been poor over the same stretch (1W-4D-0L).
Over their last 10 meetings, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have won 4, NK Varazdin 3 and 3 finished level. In the table, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb sit 7/10 and NK Varazdin 4/10. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.
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NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Varazdin: frequently asked questions
Who will win NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Varazdin?
Our AI model makes NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to win the most likely outcome, giving NK Lokomotiva Zagreb a 50% chance, the draw 24% and NK Varazdin 26%.
How many goals are expected in NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Varazdin?
The model projects 1.9 expected goals for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and 1.4 for NK Varazdin (3.3 combined) across 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.
What form are NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and NK Varazdin in?
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb are 1W-1D-3L and NK Varazdin are 1W-4D-0L across their last five matches.
What is the AI's recommended bet for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Varazdin?
The full AI pick, its confidence rating and the best value bet with its edge over bookmaker odds are available to Winotips Pro members.
Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org