HNL·Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 17:00
NK Slaven Belupo
HNK RijekaGradski stadion Ivan Kusek Apas
NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Rijeka prediction, AI analysis & value bets
Win probability (AI model)
NK Slaven BelupoHNK RijekaExpected goals (xG)
1.6 vs 1.2
Form (last 5)
Head-to-head (last 10)
NK Slaven Belupo 1W · 3D · 6W HNK Rijeka
League position
NK Slaven Belupo: 8/10 · HNK Rijeka: 5/10
NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Rijeka match preview
Our AI model makes NK Slaven Belupo the favourites for this HNL fixture, giving them a 45% chance of victory against 27% for HNK Rijeka and 28% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.
The model projects 1.6 expected goals (xG) for NK Slaven Belupo and 1.2 for HNK Rijeka, pointing towards a moderately open game. NK Slaven Belupo take mixed form into the game (2W-1D-2L in their last 5). HNK Rijeka have been strong over the same stretch (3W-1D-1L).
Over their last 10 meetings, NK Slaven Belupo have won 1, HNK Rijeka 6 and 3 finished level. In the table, NK Slaven Belupo sit 8/10 and HNK Rijeka 5/10. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.
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NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Rijeka: frequently asked questions
Who will win NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Rijeka?
Our AI model makes NK Slaven Belupo to win the most likely outcome, giving NK Slaven Belupo a 45% chance, the draw 28% and HNK Rijeka 27%.
How many goals are expected in NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Rijeka?
The model projects 1.6 expected goals for NK Slaven Belupo and 1.2 for HNK Rijeka (2.8 combined) across 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.
What form are NK Slaven Belupo and HNK Rijeka in?
NK Slaven Belupo are 2W-1D-2L and HNK Rijeka are 3W-1D-1L across their last five matches.
What is the AI's recommended bet for NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Rijeka?
The full AI pick, its confidence rating and the best value bet with its edge over bookmaker odds are available to Winotips Pro members.
Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org