Palmeiras vs Bahia prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Palmeiras

62%

Draw

25%

Bahia

13%

Model favoured Palmeiras to win

PalmeirasMatch statsBahia

41%

Palmeiras

Poss
%

59%

Bahia

26Shots9

11Shots on target1

16Shots inside box2

7Corners3

9Fouls12

1Yellow cards2

Expected goals (xG)

1.9 vs 0.7

Form (last 5)

Palmeiras

WWLDW

Bahia

WWWLL

Head-to-head (last 10)

Palmeiras 6W · 1D · 3W Bahia

League position

Palmeiras: 2/20 · Bahia: 6/20

Palmeiras vs Bahia result & analysis

The match finished Palmeiras 1 Bahia 0. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Palmeiras on a 62% win probability, against 13% for Bahia and 25% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 1.9 expected goals (xG) for Palmeiras and 0.7 for Bahia, a profile fitting a moderately open game. Palmeiras had taken strong form into the game (3W-1D-1L in their last 5). Bahia had been strong over the same stretch (3W-0D-2L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Palmeiras have won 6, Bahia 3 and 1 finished level. In the table, Palmeiras sat 2/20 and Bahia 6/20. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

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The model picture above is free. Pro members see the part that matters: the exact recommended pick and how much edge it holds over the bookmakers, on this match and every match.