PAOK vs Kalamata prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

PAOK

57%

Draw

26%

Kalamata

17%

Model favoured PAOK to win

PAOKMatch statsKalamata

61%

PAOK

Poss
%

39%

Kalamata

18Shots12

5Shots on target6

11Shots inside box8

7Corners2

8Fouls12

1Yellow cards2

Expected goals (xG)

1.9 vs 0.7

Form (last 5)

PAOK

LWWWL

Kalamata

DWDLW

Head-to-head (last 3)

PAOK 2W · 0D · 1W Kalamata

League position

PAOK: 4/14 · Kalamata: 10/14

PAOK vs Kalamata result & analysis

The match finished PAOK 1 Kalamata 3. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured PAOK on a 57% win probability, against 17% for Kalamata and 26% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 1.9 expected goals (xG) for PAOK and 0.7 for Kalamata, a profile fitting a moderately open game. PAOK had taken strong form into the game (3W-0D-2L in their last 5). Kalamata had been mixed over the same stretch (2W-2D-1L).

Over their last 3 meetings, PAOK have won 2, Kalamata 1 and 0 finished level. In the table, PAOK sat 4/14 and Kalamata 10/14. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

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