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Super League 1·Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 16:00
PAOKPAOK
VS
KalamataKalamata

Toumba Stadium

PAOK vs Kalamata prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

PAOK
71%
Draw
10%
Kalamata
2%
Model leans towards PAOK to win

Expected goals (xG)

2.9 vs 0.4

Form (last 5)

PAOK
DLWWW
Kalamata
DDWDL

Head-to-head (last 2)

PAOK 2W · 0D · 0W Kalamata

League position

PAOK: 2/14 · Kalamata: 10/14

PAOK vs Kalamata match preview

Our AI model makes PAOK the favourites for this Super League 1 fixture, giving them a 71% chance of victory against 2% for Kalamata and 10% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 2.9 expected goals (xG) for PAOK and 0.4 for Kalamata, pointing towards an open, high-scoring game. PAOK take strong form into the game (3W-1D-1L in their last 5). Kalamata have been poor over the same stretch (1W-3D-1L).

Over their last 2 meetings, PAOK have won 2, Kalamata 0 and 0 finished level. In the table, PAOK sit 2/14 and Kalamata 10/14. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.

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PAOK vs Kalamata: frequently asked questions

Who will win PAOK vs Kalamata?

Our AI model makes PAOK to win the most likely outcome, giving PAOK a 71% chance, the draw 10% and Kalamata 2%.

How many goals are expected in PAOK vs Kalamata?

The model projects 2.9 expected goals for PAOK and 0.4 for Kalamata (3.3 combined) across 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

What form are PAOK and Kalamata in?

PAOK are 3W-1D-1L and Kalamata are 1W-3D-1L across their last five matches.

What is the AI's recommended bet for PAOK vs Kalamata?

The full AI pick, its confidence rating and the best value bet with its edge over bookmaker odds are available to Winotips Pro members.

Latest PAOK & Kalamata news

Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org