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Serie A·Sat, 21 Nov 2026, 17:00
ParmaParma
VS
AS RomaAS Roma

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma vs AS Roma prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Parma
5%
Draw
19%
AS Roma
77%
Model leans towards AS Roma to win

Expected goals (xG)

0.5 vs 2.3

Form (last 5)

Parma
LLDWL
AS Roma
DWWLW

Head-to-head (last 10)

Parma 2W · 0D · 8W AS Roma

League position

Parma: 16/20 · AS Roma: 3/20

Parma vs AS Roma match preview

Our AI model makes AS Roma the favourites for this Serie A fixture, giving them a 77% chance of victory against 5% for Parma and 19% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 0.5 expected goals (xG) for Parma and 2.3 for AS Roma, pointing towards a moderately open game. Parma take poor form into the game (1W-1D-3L in their last 5). AS Roma have been strong over the same stretch (3W-1D-1L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Parma have won 2, AS Roma 8 and 0 finished level. In the table, Parma sit 16/20 and AS Roma 3/20. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.

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Parma vs AS Roma: frequently asked questions

Who will win Parma vs AS Roma?

Our AI model makes AS Roma to win the most likely outcome, giving Parma a 5% chance, the draw 19% and AS Roma 77%.

How many goals are expected in Parma vs AS Roma?

The model projects 0.5 expected goals for Parma and 2.3 for AS Roma (2.8 combined) across 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

What form are Parma and AS Roma in?

Parma are 1W-1D-3L and AS Roma are 3W-1D-1L across their last five matches.

What is the AI's recommended bet for Parma vs AS Roma?

The full AI pick, its confidence rating and the best value bet with its edge over bookmaker odds are available to Winotips Pro members.

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Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org