Parma vs Bologna prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Our AI model makes Bologna the favourites for this Serie A fixture, giving them a 71% chance of victory against 6% for Parma and 23% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 0.6 expected goals (xG) for Parma and 1.9 for Bologna, pointing towards a moderately open game. Parma take poor form into the game (1W-1D-3L in their last 5). Bologna have been strong over the same stretch (4W-0D-1L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Parma have won 2, Bologna 5 and 3 finished level. In the table, Parma sit 18/20 and Bologna 9/20. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.