Parma vs Genoa prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Parma

29%

Draw

46%

Genoa

26%

Model favoured a draw

ParmaMatch statsGenoa

42%

Parma

Poss
%

58%

Genoa

4Shots12

2Shots on target5

2Shots inside box7

1Corners5

15Fouls12

3Yellow cards3

Expected goals (xG)

0.6 vs 0.6

Form (last 5)

Parma

LLDLW

Genoa

LLDWL

Head-to-head (last 10)

Parma 4W · 3D · 3W Genoa

League position

Parma: 15/20 · Genoa: 19/20

Parma vs Genoa result & analysis

The match finished Parma 2 Genoa 1. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Parma on a 29% win probability, against 26% for Genoa and 46% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 0.6 expected goals (xG) for Parma and 0.6 for Genoa, a profile fitting a cagey, low-scoring game. Parma had taken poor form into the game (1W-1D-3L in their last 5). Genoa had been poor over the same stretch (1W-1D-3L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Parma have won 4, Genoa 3 and 3 finished level. In the table, Parma sat 15/20 and Genoa 19/20. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

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