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UEFA Nations League·Sun, 4 Oct 2026, 19:45
PortugalPortugal
2:1
NorwayNorway

Estádio do Dragão · Full time

Portugal vs Norway prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Portugal
69%
Draw
19%
Norway
12%
Model favoured Portugal to win
PortugalMatch statsNorway
59%
Portugal
Poss
%
41%
Norway
20Shots8
7Shots on target3
11Shots inside box5
6Corners4
8Fouls7
2Yellow cards0

Expected goals (xG)

2.5 vs 1.0

Form (last 5)

Portugal
WLWWW
Norway
WLWLL

Head-to-head (last 1)

Portugal 1W · 0D · 0W Norway

Portugal vs Norway result & analysis

The match finished Portugal 2 Norway 1. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Portugal on a 69% win probability, against 12% for Norway and 19% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 2.5 expected goals (xG) for Portugal and 1.0 for Norway, a profile fitting an open, high-scoring game. Portugal had taken strong form into the game (4W-0D-1L in their last 5). Norway had been mixed over the same stretch (2W-0D-3L).

Over their last 1 meetings, Portugal have won 1, Norway 0 and 0 finished level. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

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Portugal vs Norway: frequently asked questions

Who won Portugal vs Norway?

Portugal won 2:1. Our AI model had favoured Portugal to win before kickoff.

How many goals were scored in Portugal vs Norway?

3 in total (Portugal 2, Norway 1). The model had projected 2.5 and 1.0 expected goals.

What form did Portugal and Norway take into the match?

Portugal were 4W-0D-1L and Norway were 2W-0D-3L across their last five matches.

Did the Winotips AI get Portugal vs Norway right?

Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

Latest Portugal & Norway news

Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org