QPR vs Swansea prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

QPR

27%

Draw

29%

Swansea

44%

Model leans towards Swansea to win

Expected goals (xG)

1.4 vs 1.5

Form (last 5)

QPR

DDDWL

Swansea

WWWWL

Head-to-head (last 10)

QPR 3W · 3D · 4W Swansea

League position

QPR: 9/24 · Swansea: 1/24

QPR vs Swansea match preview

Our AI model makes Swansea the favourites for this Championship fixture, giving them a 44% chance of victory against 27% for QPR and 29% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 1.4 expected goals (xG) for QPR and 1.5 for Swansea, pointing towards a moderately open game. QPR take poor form into the game (1W-3D-1L in their last 5). Swansea have been strong over the same stretch (4W-0D-1L).

Over their last 10 meetings, QPR have won 3, Swansea 4 and 3 finished level. In the table, QPR sit 9/24 and Swansea 1/24. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.

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The model picture above is free. Pro members see the part that matters: the exact recommended pick and how much edge it holds over the bookmakers, on this match and every match.