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Ligue 1·Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 16:15
RennesRennes
VS
AuxerreAuxerre

Roazhon Park

Rennes vs Auxerre prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Rennes
77%
Draw
15%
Auxerre
8%
Model leans towards Rennes to win

Expected goals (xG)

2.9 vs 0.9

Form (last 5)

Rennes
WWDLL
Auxerre
LLWWW

Head-to-head (last 10)

Rennes 4W · 4D · 2W Auxerre

League position

Rennes: 5/18 · Auxerre: 10/18

Rennes vs Auxerre match preview

Our AI model makes Rennes the favourites for this Ligue 1 fixture, giving them a 77% chance of victory against 8% for Auxerre and 15% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 2.9 expected goals (xG) for Rennes and 0.9 for Auxerre, pointing towards an open, high-scoring game. Rennes take mixed form into the game (2W-1D-2L in their last 5). Auxerre have been strong over the same stretch (3W-0D-2L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Rennes have won 4, Auxerre 2 and 4 finished level. In the table, Rennes sit 5/18 and Auxerre 10/18. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.

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Rennes vs Auxerre: frequently asked questions

Who will win Rennes vs Auxerre?

Our AI model makes Rennes to win the most likely outcome, giving Rennes a 77% chance, the draw 15% and Auxerre 8%.

How many goals are expected in Rennes vs Auxerre?

The model projects 2.9 expected goals for Rennes and 0.9 for Auxerre (3.9 combined) across 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

What form are Rennes and Auxerre in?

Rennes are 2W-1D-2L and Auxerre are 3W-0D-2L across their last five matches.

What is the AI's recommended bet for Rennes vs Auxerre?

The full AI pick, its confidence rating and the best value bet with its edge over bookmaker odds are available to Winotips Pro members.

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Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org