Romania vs Sweden prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Romania

21%

Draw

23%

Sweden

56%

Model favoured Sweden to win

RomaniaMatch statsSweden

53%

Romania

Poss
%

47%

Sweden

13Shots12

4Shots on target2

7Shots inside box10

5Corners4

14Fouls11

4Yellow cards2

Expected goals (xG)

1.3 vs 2.2

Form (last 5)

Romania

WLLLL

Sweden

LWWDW

Head-to-head (last 5)

Romania 1W · 0D · 4W Sweden

Romania vs Sweden result & analysis

The match finished Romania 0 Sweden 1. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Sweden on a 56% win probability, against 21% for Romania and 23% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 1.3 expected goals (xG) for Romania and 2.2 for Sweden, a profile fitting an open, high-scoring game. Romania had taken poor form into the game (1W-0D-4L in their last 5). Sweden had been strong over the same stretch (3W-1D-1L).

Over their last 5 meetings, Romania have won 1, Sweden 4 and 0 finished level. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

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The model picture above is free. Pro members see the part that matters: the exact recommended pick and how much edge it holds over the bookmakers, on this match and every match.