Santos vs Flamengo prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Santos

28%

Draw

28%

Flamengo

44%

Model favoured Flamengo to win

SantosMatch statsFlamengo

44%

Santos

Poss
%

56%

Flamengo

16Shots12

4Shots on target6

10Shots inside box9

5Corners5

16Fouls15

6Yellow cards4

Expected goals (xG)

1.2 vs 1.5

Form (last 5)

Santos

WLWWD

Flamengo

WWDWD

Head-to-head (last 10)

Santos 3W · 1D · 6W Flamengo

League position

Santos: 8/20 · Flamengo: 1/20

Santos vs Flamengo result & analysis

The match finished Santos 2 Flamengo 2. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Flamengo on a 44% win probability, against 28% for Santos and 28% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 1.2 expected goals (xG) for Santos and 1.5 for Flamengo, a profile fitting a moderately open game. Santos had taken strong form into the game (3W-1D-1L in their last 5). Flamengo had been strong over the same stretch (3W-2D-0L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Santos have won 3, Flamengo 6 and 1 finished level. In the table, Santos sat 8/20 and Flamengo 1/20. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

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