Santos vs Flamengo prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Santos

20%

Draw

26%

Flamengo

49%

Model leans towards Flamengo to win

Expected goals (xG)

1.3 vs 1.9

Form (last 5)

Santos

WWWLW

Flamengo

WWWDW

Head-to-head (last 10)

Santos 3W · 0D · 7W Flamengo

League position

Santos: 8/20 · Flamengo: 1/20

Santos vs Flamengo match preview

Our AI model makes Flamengo the favourites for this Brazilian Série A fixture, giving them a 49% chance of victory against 20% for Santos and 26% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 1.3 expected goals (xG) for Santos and 1.9 for Flamengo, pointing towards an open, high-scoring game. Santos take strong form into the game (4W-0D-1L in their last 5). Flamengo have been strong over the same stretch (4W-1D-0L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Santos have won 3, Flamengo 7 and 0 finished level. In the table, Santos sit 8/20 and Flamengo 1/20. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.

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