Brazilian Série A·Wed, 28 Oct 2026, 22:30
Santos
PalmeirasEstadio Urbano Caldeira
Santos vs Palmeiras prediction, AI analysis & value bets
Win probability (AI model)
SantosPalmeirasExpected goals (xG)
1.0 vs 1.7
Form (last 5)
Head-to-head (last 10)
Santos 2W · 2D · 6W Palmeiras
League position
Santos: 8/20 · Palmeiras: 2/20
Santos vs Palmeiras match preview
Our AI model makes Palmeiras the favourites for this Brazilian Série A fixture, giving them a 56% chance of victory against 17% for Santos and 28% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.
The model projects 1.0 expected goals (xG) for Santos and 1.7 for Palmeiras, pointing towards a moderately open game. Santos take strong form into the game (3W-1D-1L in their last 5). Palmeiras have been strong over the same stretch (4W-1D-0L).
Over their last 10 meetings, Santos have won 2, Palmeiras 6 and 2 finished level. In the table, Santos sit 8/20 and Palmeiras 2/20. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.
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Santos vs Palmeiras: frequently asked questions
Who will win Santos vs Palmeiras?
Our AI model makes Palmeiras to win the most likely outcome, giving Santos a 17% chance, the draw 28% and Palmeiras 56%.
How many goals are expected in Santos vs Palmeiras?
The model projects 1.0 expected goals for Santos and 1.7 for Palmeiras (2.7 combined) across 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.
What form are Santos and Palmeiras in?
Santos are 3W-1D-1L and Palmeiras are 4W-1D-0L across their last five matches.
What is the AI's recommended bet for Santos vs Palmeiras?
The full AI pick, its confidence rating and the best value bet with its edge over bookmaker odds are available to Winotips Pro members.
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Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org