Sao Paulo vs Santos prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Sao Paulo

48%

Draw

29%

Santos

23%

Model favoured Sao Paulo to win

Sao PauloMatch statsSantos

60%

Sao Paulo

Poss
%

40%

Santos

20Shots9

8Shots on target4

13Shots inside box4

14Corners1

12Fouls10

1Yellow cards3

Expected goals (xG)

1.6 vs 1.0

Form (last 5)

Sao Paulo

LLDWL

Santos

WWLWW

Head-to-head (last 10)

Sao Paulo 4W · 2D · 4W Santos

League position

Sao Paulo: 11/20 · Santos: 7/20

Sao Paulo vs Santos result & analysis

The match finished Sao Paulo 1 Santos 2. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Sao Paulo on a 48% win probability, against 23% for Santos and 29% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 1.6 expected goals (xG) for Sao Paulo and 1.0 for Santos, a profile fitting a moderately open game. Sao Paulo had taken poor form into the game (1W-1D-3L in their last 5). Santos had been strong over the same stretch (4W-0D-1L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Sao Paulo have won 4, Santos 4 and 2 finished level. In the table, Sao Paulo sat 11/20 and Santos 7/20. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

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