Sassuolo vs Lazio prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Sassuolo

11%

Draw

25%

Lazio

64%

Model leans towards Lazio to win

Expected goals (xG)

0.9 vs 1.9

Form (last 5)

Sassuolo

DWLDL

Lazio

WWDWW

Head-to-head (last 10)

Sassuolo 3W · 2D · 5W Lazio

League position

Sassuolo: 12/20 · Lazio: 2/20

Sassuolo vs Lazio match preview

Our AI model makes Lazio the favourites for this Serie A fixture, giving them a 64% chance of victory against 11% for Sassuolo and 25% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 0.9 expected goals (xG) for Sassuolo and 1.9 for Lazio, pointing towards a moderately open game. Sassuolo take poor form into the game (1W-2D-2L in their last 5). Lazio have been strong over the same stretch (4W-1D-0L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Sassuolo have won 3, Lazio 5 and 2 finished level. In the table, Sassuolo sit 12/20 and Lazio 2/20. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.

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