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UEFA Nations League·Thu, 24 Sept 2026, 19:45
SerbiaSerbia
1:2
GreeceGreece

Serbia vs Greece prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Serbia
33%
Draw
32%
Greece
35%
Model favoured Greece to win
SerbiaMatch statsGreece
39%
Serbia
Poss
%
61%
Greece
9Shots25
4Shots on target8
7Shots inside box15
2Corners6
11Fouls7
2Yellow cards1

Expected goals (xG)

1.1 vs 1.1

Form (last 5)

Serbia
WLWLL
Greece
DLDDL

Serbia vs Greece result & analysis

The match finished Serbia 1 Greece 2. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Greece on a 35% win probability, against 33% for Serbia and 32% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 1.1 expected goals (xG) for Serbia and 1.1 for Greece, a profile fitting a cagey, low-scoring game. Serbia had taken mixed form into the game (2W-0D-3L in their last 5). Greece had been poor over the same stretch (0W-3D-2L).

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Serbia vs Greece: frequently asked questions

Who won Serbia vs Greece?

Greece won 2:1. Our AI model had favoured Greece to win before kickoff.

How many goals were scored in Serbia vs Greece?

3 in total (Serbia 1, Greece 2). The model had projected 1.1 and 1.1 expected goals.

What form did Serbia and Greece take into the match?

Serbia were 2W-0D-3L and Greece were 0W-3D-2L across their last five matches.

Did the Winotips AI get Serbia vs Greece right?

Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

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Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org