Sevilla vs Alaves prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Our AI model makes Sevilla the favourites for this La Liga fixture, giving them a 48% chance of victory against 25% for Alaves and 27% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 1.6 expected goals (xG) for Sevilla and 0.9 for Alaves, pointing towards a moderately open game. Sevilla take poor form into the game (1W-1D-3L in their last 5). Alaves have been poor over the same stretch (0W-2D-3L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Sevilla have won 2, Alaves 4 and 4 finished level. In the table, Sevilla sit 6/20 and Alaves 7/20. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.