Sevilla vs Osasuna prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Sevilla

52%

Draw

26%

Osasuna

23%

Model leans towards Sevilla to win

Expected goals (xG)

1.9 vs 1.0

Form (last 5)

Sevilla

WWLLD

Osasuna

LLLDL

Head-to-head (last 10)

Sevilla 1W · 4D · 5W Osasuna

League position

Sevilla: 5/20 · Osasuna: 16/20

Sevilla vs Osasuna match preview

Our AI model makes Sevilla the favourites for this La Liga fixture, giving them a 52% chance of victory against 23% for Osasuna and 26% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 1.9 expected goals (xG) for Sevilla and 1.0 for Osasuna, pointing towards a moderately open game. Sevilla take mixed form into the game (2W-1D-2L in their last 5). Osasuna have been poor over the same stretch (0W-1D-4L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Sevilla have won 1, Osasuna 5 and 4 finished level. In the table, Sevilla sit 5/20 and Osasuna 16/20. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.

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