Sheffield Utd vs Derby prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Our AI model makes Sheffield Utd the favourites for this Championship fixture, giving them a 47% chance of victory against 26% for Derby and 27% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 1.8 expected goals (xG) for Sheffield Utd and 1.0 for Derby, pointing towards a moderately open game. Sheffield Utd take mixed form into the game (2W-0D-3L in their last 5). Derby have been poor over the same stretch (0W-2D-3L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Sheffield Utd have won 8, Derby 2 and 0 finished level. In the table, Sheffield Utd sit 11/24 and Derby 23/24. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.