Southampton
QPRSt. Mary's Stadium
Southampton vs QPR prediction, AI analysis & value bets
Win probability (AI model)
Expected goals (xG)
2.1 vs 0.8
Form (last 5)
Head-to-head (last 8)
Southampton 7W · 0D · 1W QPR
League position
Southampton: 6/24 · QPR: 8/24
Southampton vs QPR match preview
Our AI model makes Southampton the favourites for this Championship fixture, giving them a 62% chance of victory against 16% for QPR and 22% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.
The model projects 2.1 expected goals (xG) for Southampton and 0.8 for QPR, pointing towards a moderately open game. Southampton take strong form into the game (3W-1D-1L in their last 5). QPR have been mixed over the same stretch (2W-2D-1L).
Over their last 8 meetings, Southampton have won 7, QPR 1 and 0 finished level. In the table, Southampton sit 6/24 and QPR 8/24. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.
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Southampton vs QPR: frequently asked questions
Who will win Southampton vs QPR?
Our AI model makes Southampton to win the most likely outcome, giving Southampton a 62% chance, the draw 22% and QPR 16%.
How many goals are expected in Southampton vs QPR?
The model projects 2.1 expected goals for Southampton and 0.8 for QPR (3.0 combined) across 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.
What form are Southampton and QPR in?
Southampton are 3W-1D-1L and QPR are 2W-2D-1L across their last five matches.
What is the AI's recommended bet for Southampton vs QPR?
The full AI pick, its confidence rating and the best value bet with its edge over bookmaker odds are available to Winotips Pro members.
Latest Southampton & QPR news
Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org