ST Johnstone
DundeeMcDiarmid Park
ST Johnstone vs Dundee prediction, AI analysis & value bets
Win probability (AI model)
Expected goals (xG)
1.5 vs 1.2
Form (last 5)
Head-to-head (last 10)
ST Johnstone 1W · 5D · 4W Dundee
League position
ST Johnstone: 8/12 · Dundee: 4/12
ST Johnstone vs Dundee match preview
ST Johnstone vs Dundee shapes up as one of the tighter calls on the card. Across 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations our model separates the two sides by just 1 points: ST Johnstone on 36% and Dundee on 35%, with the draw a live outcome at 29%. Expect a close, low margin contest in this Premiership fixture.
The model projects 1.5 expected goals (xG) for ST Johnstone and 1.2 for Dundee, pointing towards a moderately open game. ST Johnstone take poor form into the game (1W-3D-1L in their last 5). Dundee have been strong over the same stretch (3W-1D-1L).
Over their last 10 meetings, ST Johnstone have won 1, Dundee 4 and 5 finished level. In the table, ST Johnstone sit 8/12 and Dundee 4/12. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.
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ST Johnstone vs Dundee: frequently asked questions
Who will win ST Johnstone vs Dundee?
Our AI model makes ST Johnstone to win the most likely outcome, giving ST Johnstone a 36% chance, the draw 29% and Dundee 35%.
How many goals are expected in ST Johnstone vs Dundee?
The model projects 1.5 expected goals for ST Johnstone and 1.2 for Dundee (2.6 combined) across 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.
What form are ST Johnstone and Dundee in?
ST Johnstone are 1W-3D-1L and Dundee are 3W-1D-1L across their last five matches.
What is the AI's recommended bet for ST Johnstone vs Dundee?
The full AI pick, its confidence rating and the best value bet with its edge over bookmaker odds are available to Winotips Pro members.
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Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org