Premiership·Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 15:00
ST Johnstone
Dundee UtdMcDiarmid Park
ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd prediction, AI analysis & value bets
Win probability (AI model)
ST JohnstoneDundee UtdExpected goals (xG)
2.5 vs 1.5
Form (last 5)
Head-to-head (last 10)
ST Johnstone 4W · 1D · 5W Dundee Utd
League position
ST Johnstone: 6/12 · Dundee Utd: 8/12
ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd match preview
Our AI model makes ST Johnstone the favourites for this Premiership fixture, giving them a 59% chance of victory against 21% for Dundee Utd and 20% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.
The model projects 2.5 expected goals (xG) for ST Johnstone and 1.5 for Dundee Utd, pointing towards an open, high-scoring game. ST Johnstone take poor form into the game (1W-2D-2L in their last 5). Dundee Utd have been mixed over the same stretch (2W-1D-2L).
Over their last 10 meetings, ST Johnstone have won 4, Dundee Utd 5 and 1 finished level. In the table, ST Johnstone sit 6/12 and Dundee Utd 8/12. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.
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The model picture above is free. Pro members see the part that matters: the exact recommended pick and how much edge it holds over the bookmakers, on this match and every match.
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ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd: frequently asked questions
Who will win ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd?
Our AI model makes ST Johnstone to win the most likely outcome, giving ST Johnstone a 59% chance, the draw 20% and Dundee Utd 21%.
How many goals are expected in ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd?
The model projects 2.5 expected goals for ST Johnstone and 1.5 for Dundee Utd (4.0 combined) across 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.
What form are ST Johnstone and Dundee Utd in?
ST Johnstone are 1W-2D-2L and Dundee Utd are 2W-1D-2L across their last five matches.
What is the AI's recommended bet for ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd?
The full AI pick, its confidence rating and the best value bet with its edge over bookmaker odds are available to Winotips Pro members.
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Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org