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Jupiler Pro League·Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 12:30
Standard LiegeStandard Liege
VS
CharleroiCharleroi

Maurice Dufrasnestadion

Standard Liege vs Charleroi prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Standard Liege
26%
Draw
30%
Charleroi
44%
Model leans towards Charleroi to win

Expected goals (xG)

1.0 vs 1.4

Form (last 5)

Standard Liege
WWWLL
Charleroi
WWLWW

Head-to-head (last 10)

Standard Liege 3W · 3D · 4W Charleroi

League position

Standard Liege: 7/18 · Charleroi: 4/18

Standard Liege vs Charleroi match preview

Our AI model makes Charleroi the favourites for this Jupiler Pro League fixture, giving them a 44% chance of victory against 26% for Standard Liege and 30% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 1.0 expected goals (xG) for Standard Liege and 1.4 for Charleroi, pointing towards a moderately open game. Standard Liege take strong form into the game (3W-0D-2L in their last 5). Charleroi have been strong over the same stretch (4W-0D-1L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Standard Liege have won 3, Charleroi 4 and 3 finished level. In the table, Standard Liege sit 7/18 and Charleroi 4/18. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.

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Standard Liege vs Charleroi: frequently asked questions

Who will win Standard Liege vs Charleroi?

Our AI model makes Charleroi to win the most likely outcome, giving Standard Liege a 26% chance, the draw 30% and Charleroi 44%.

How many goals are expected in Standard Liege vs Charleroi?

The model projects 1.0 expected goals for Standard Liege and 1.4 for Charleroi (2.4 combined) across 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

What form are Standard Liege and Charleroi in?

Standard Liege are 3W-0D-2L and Charleroi are 4W-0D-1L across their last five matches.

What is the AI's recommended bet for Standard Liege vs Charleroi?

The full AI pick, its confidence rating and the best value bet with its edge over bookmaker odds are available to Winotips Pro members.

Latest Standard Liege & Charleroi news

Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · begambleaware.org