Sunderland vs Brighton prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Sunderland

17%

Draw

25%

Brighton

58%

Model favoured Brighton to win

SunderlandMatch statsBrighton

62%

Sunderland

Poss
%

38%

Brighton

12Shots13

3Shots on target4

4Shots inside box6

7Corners4

7Fouls12

0Yellow cards1

Expected goals (xG)

0.9 vs 1.8

Form (last 5)

Sunderland

WLWLL

Brighton

DWWWW

Head-to-head (last 4)

Sunderland 0W · 1D · 3W Brighton

League position

Sunderland: 16/20 · Brighton: 3/20

Sunderland vs Brighton result & analysis

The match finished Sunderland 0 Brighton 2. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Brighton on a 58% win probability, against 17% for Sunderland and 25% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 0.9 expected goals (xG) for Sunderland and 1.8 for Brighton, a profile fitting a moderately open game. Sunderland had taken mixed form into the game (2W-0D-3L in their last 5). Brighton had been strong over the same stretch (4W-1D-0L).

Over their last 4 meetings, Sunderland have won 0, Brighton 3 and 1 finished level. In the table, Sunderland sat 16/20 and Brighton 3/20. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

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