Toronto FC vs CF Montreal prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Win probability (AI model)

Toronto FC

72%

Draw

18%

CF Montreal

Model favoured Toronto FC to win

Toronto FCMatch statsCF Montreal

52%

Toronto FC

Poss
%

48%

CF Montreal

14Shots16

5Shots on target7

12Shots inside box12

8Corners6

9Fouls17

1Yellow cards3

Expected goals (xG)

2.5 vs 0.9

Form (last 5)

Toronto FC

WLLLW

CF Montreal

LWLWL

Head-to-head (last 10)

Toronto FC 4W · 3D · 3W CF Montreal

Toronto FC vs CF Montreal result & analysis

The match finished Toronto FC 2 CF Montreal 1. Ahead of kickoff our AI model had favoured Toronto FC on a 72% win probability, against 9% for CF Montreal and 18% for the draw, from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

The model had projected 2.5 expected goals (xG) for Toronto FC and 0.9 for CF Montreal, a profile fitting an open, high-scoring game. Toronto FC had taken mixed form into the game (2W-0D-3L in their last 5). CF Montreal had been mixed over the same stretch (2W-0D-3L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Toronto FC have won 4, CF Montreal 3 and 3 finished level. Winotips Pro members can see the exact pick the model made for this match and whether it landed, as part of the verified AI track record.

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