Toulouse vs Estac Troyes prediction, AI analysis & value bets

Our AI model makes Toulouse the favourites for this Ligue 1 fixture, giving them a 52% chance of victory against 22% for Estac Troyes and 27% for the draw. The projection is built from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the match.

The model projects 1.7 expected goals (xG) for Toulouse and 0.8 for Estac Troyes, pointing towards a moderately open game. Toulouse take poor form into the game (1W-2D-2L in their last 5). Estac Troyes have been poor over the same stretch (0W-1D-4L).

Over their last 10 meetings, Toulouse have won 6, Estac Troyes 0 and 4 finished level. In the table, Toulouse sit 15/18 and Estac Troyes 17/18. Winotips Pro members get the model's single recommended pick for this match, its confidence rating, and the value bet carrying the biggest edge over current bookmaker odds.